Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.022359 0.024012 0.025733 0.027661 0.029762 0.031984 0.034517
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019641 0.022026 0.024639 0.027723 0.031274 0.035249 0.040051
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.017564 0.020333 0.023484 0.027352 0.031997 0.037426 0.044297
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015915 0.018894 0.022385 0.026809 0.032306 0.038964 0.047722
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014740 0.017875 0.021646 0.026557 0.032842 0.040697 0.051388
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013755 0.016993 0.020976 0.026287 0.033266 0.042237 0.054829
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012781 0.016045 0.020138 0.025712 0.033208 0.043088 0.057342
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012269 0.015646 0.019961 0.025961 0.034218 0.045374 0.061927
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011704 0.015137 0.019599 0.025920 0.034802 0.047080 0.065774
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011327 0.014850 0.019506 0.026223 0.035858 0.049481 0.070763
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010793 0.014318 0.019045 0.025976 0.036098 0.050702 0.074047
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010354 0.013893 0.018704 0.025868 0.036518 0.052186 0.077807
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009860 0.013371 0.018208 0.025517 0.036564 0.053123 0.080796
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009528 0.013063 0.017998 0.025567 0.037209 0.055004 0.085428
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009104 0.012603 0.017545 0.025229 0.037230 0.055898 0.088478
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008667 0.012103 0.017011 0.024735 0.036973 0.056319 0.090742
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008334 0.011742 0.016663 0.024506 0.037114 0.057381 0.094162
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008019 0.011394 0.016318 0.024260 0.037208 0.058358 0.097487
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007651 0.010952 0.015814 0.023738 0.036817 0.058487 0.099277
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007496 0.010825 0.015782 0.023964 0.037672 0.060778 0.105190
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007285 0.010604 0.015595 0.023927 0.038076 0.062303 0.109769
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007159 0.010509 0.015600 0.024202 0.039023 0.064833 0.116460
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006925 0.010237 0.015313 0.023977 0.039087 0.065774 0.120099